kimba wrote:
Quote:
the fold lines up with other evidence which adds to the credibility of the document.
Oh come on nbc, anyone can fold paper. The fold lines add nothing. The only that would make it credible is a date issued after 2001.
Sigh... yes we can always move our goalposts when logic and reason uncovers aspects which point to one or the other side of a premise. Sure, anyone can fold paper, anyone can take the older document and fake a newer looking one on plain paper, but that's not the issue here. The issue is how to determine whether or not Danae's document is a fake, or not, given the data we have available.
Initially, there was some reason to suspect that Danae may have used her older document to create the newer one. However, as several people observed, there were some telltale signs that suggested that this was not as self evident, as the document had several aspects not found on the original such as the two extra boxes and the fold. While not proving one way or the other, they help us formulate likely hypotheses to be evaluated using rules of logic and reason.
As such, the fold, like the newspaper advertisement of Obama's birth, may not be proof but it is supporting evidence. If the document had been without a fold, no matching envelope and receipt and no vague imprint of the receipt on the back of the document, then the pendulum would have shifted towards more skepticism.
We can only go where the known facts take us, realizing that we have inherent biases that may prevent us from seeing the full picture. Combine this with levels of unfamiliarity with procedures and one can reasonably come to the conclusion that one is not convinced by the evidence. However, given the data so far, there is in my opinion no reason to refer to Danae in unflattering terms regarding these documents.
The preponderance of evidence, knowledge and reason all point to the fact that it is more likely than not that the document is in fact real, although we need more to make this determination to allow us 'proof'. Which can be obtained in a simple straightforward manner by asking Onaka.
I can accept why others may be more skeptical, and I have no real issue with the level of skepticism. But if we allow for skepticism then we also have to allow that birthers may feel skeptical about some of the data provided so far.
It's somewhat of a double edged sword, unless there exists a more objective measure to determine the factual nature of documents. While the preponderance of evidence wrt Obama is extremely strong, there are still those who are willing to deny its relevance. We can only do so much before we have to make the decision just to ignore the more extreme positions of skepticism in favor of realism peppered with some dose of Occam's Razor.