Presidential Approval Polls 2017

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Addie
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Re: Presidential Approval Polls 2017

#651

Post by Addie » Thu Dec 07, 2017 4:41 pm

The Hill
Poll: Trump's approval rating hits new low in Pew poll

A new poll released Thursday shows President Trump’s approval rating has hit a new low.

The Pew Research Center poll finds that just 32 percent of Americans approve of how Trump is handling his job as president. Sixty-three percent of Americans say they disapprove.

Trump’s 32-percent approval rating is a new low in the Pew poll. The group’s most recent survey, conducted in October, found Trump held a 34 percent approval rating after three consecutive surveys dating back to February measured his approval rating at 39 percent.

The 63 percent of Americans who disapprove of Trump’s job as president is the highest Pew has measured in the poll, topping a previous high of 59 percent in Pew’s October survey.


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Slartibartfast
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Re: Presidential Approval Polls 2017

#652

Post by Slartibartfast » Fri Dec 08, 2017 2:46 am

Addie wrote:
Thu Dec 07, 2017 4:41 pm
The Hill
Poll: Trump's approval rating hits new low in Pew poll

A new poll released Thursday shows President Trump’s approval rating has hit a new low.

The Pew Research Center poll finds that just 32 percent of Americans approve of how Trump is handling his job as president. Sixty-three percent of Americans say they disapprove.

Trump’s 32-percent approval rating is a new low in the Pew poll. The group’s most recent survey, conducted in October, found Trump held a 34 percent approval rating after three consecutive surveys dating back to February measured his approval rating at 39 percent.

The 63 percent of Americans who disapprove of Trump’s job as president is the highest Pew has measured in the poll, topping a previous high of 59 percent in Pew’s October survey.
*sigh*

Trump's aggregate net approval rate is about 1% above its all time low - slightly down (at -19.1%) from where it has been sitting for several weeks. Ignoring polling except when it drives a desired narrative (at least if you squint at it out of the corner of your eye), especially just a single data point like this, is not a valid way to use statistics.

If you look at net approval on 538's interactive figure, you will see that Trump's rating has been extremely stable since the summer. In other words, nothing that happened this fall really moved the needle at all. Which, if you think about what's happened, is pretty remarkable. But it doesn't seem to be a story the pollsters and data pundits want to push.


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Suranis
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Re: Presidential Approval Polls 2017

#653

Post by Suranis » Fri Dec 08, 2017 2:50 pm

There is one angle however that IS interesting. Trump appears to be down 17 points among Evengelicals since febyary, whichis a significant core of his base. At a guess, they thought Pense would be in the chair by now.

https://theweek.com/speedreads/742212/t ... e-february
A new survey from the Pew Research Center found broad agreement among Democrats and Republicans about the high importance of the GOP tax legislation, a sharp partisan split over Special Counsel Robert Mueller's investigation into Russian collusion, and almost no good news for President Trump on his job approval. Overall, 32 percent of Americans (and 34 percent of registered voters) approve of Trump's performance down from 39 percent in February, and most of the losses are from conservatives.

Trump still has majority support from Republicans (76 percent) and white evangelical Protestants (61 percent), but those are the only groups polled where Trump's approval rating is higher than 46 percent. The 17-point drop among evangelicals since February is especially steep.

Since February, Trump’s job approval has ticked down among Republicans, Republican leaners



Trump's support also dropped significantly among white Americans without a college degree, Catholics, and moderate Republicans. He has a 7 percent approval rating among black Americans and also Democrats, and the only demographic where his approval ratings is unchanged is Hispanics, steady at 17 percent. The poll was conducted among 1,503 adults from Nov. 29 to Dec. 4, and it has a margin of sampling error of ±2.9 percentage points. Peter Weber
Of course, as Heisenberg might say, that is just looking at 2 data points. Lots of swings and roundabouts might have happened in between. But still it is interesting in a trend setting way.


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