POLLS

TollandRCR · **Posted:** Fri Sep 30, 2011 10:38 am

MsDaisy wrote:

Americans see republicans as only interested in helping the “Haves”

The key column is "Independents." Democrats must boost their support there, and as I can see it, they can only do it by telling all the truth about what the Republicans are up to. Saying "This is not class warfare -- It's math" will not do that. The campaign has to take the professor out of the President.

Plutodog · **Posted:** Sat Oct 01, 2011 12:40 pm

TollandRCR wrote:

MsDaisy wrote:

Americans see republicans as only interested in helping the “Haves”

The key column is "Independents." Democrats must boost their support there, and as I can see it, they can only do it by telling all the truth about what the Republicans are up to. Saying "This is not class warfare -- It's math" will not do that. The campaign has to take the professor out of the President.

Yes, that. "This is not class warfare, it's math." should be the first sentence. The following sentences should be "it's also..." and then pour it on.

PatGund · **Posted:** Mon Oct 03, 2011 11:38 pm

Interesting....poll at JB Williams' own site

Quote:

"What will it take to stop Obammunism?
A Military Mutiny or coup d'etat
A thirty-million citizen nationwide tax revolt
A twenty-million man pitch-fork and torch party on the White House lawn
Armed revolution
State legislatures initiating election fraud and treason charges against Obama & Co."

It says something that each and every answer he gives the poll voter calls for the overthrow of the United States Government. The only question in his mind is if it's done by the military, a "tax revolt", mob violence and a lynching, a civil war, or state secession.

Some "patriot", eh???

mimi · **Posted:** Wed Oct 12, 2011 3:36 pm

PPP polls:

poll oct 11.

Quote:

-Republican voters are still evenly divided about whether or not Barack Obama was born in the United States- 39% say he was, 39% say he wasn't. Although it's been speculated that the birther movement is about race Cain actually leads the way with those voters at 25% to 17% for Gingrich, 12% for Romney, and 10% for Perry.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main ... nally.html

Reality Check · **Posted:** Fri Oct 14, 2011 10:19 am

Time has Obama up over all the GOP rivals. http://news.yahoo.com/time-poll-obama-s ... 10901.html

The only one even close is Romney. Obama is up 46-43. Obama leads Perry 50-38 and Cain 49-37.

realist · **Joined:** Fri Jan 23, 2009 1:33 pm **Posts:** 23548

From TPMLivewire...

Gallup: Obama Approval Goes Positive For First Time Since July

Quote:

Gallup’s tracking poll released Monday shows something not seen since July of this year: President Barack Obama’s approval rating in positive territory. The national survey that interviews 500 American adults per night showed 47 percent of those polled approve of the President’s job performance, versus 45 percent who disapprove. The Gallup poll uses a three day average of their nightly interviews, for a total of 1,500 responses over that time.

The last positive score Obama received in Gallup’s numbers was a 46 – 45 split over surveys done from July seventh to the ninth. The TPM Poll Average of the metric still shows a little over a four point difference, but the numbers are evening since this summer’s debt ceiling figh

t.

rajah · **Posted:** Mon Dec 26, 2011 8:01 pm

Intrade has had Obama with a 52% chance for a while now.
Regards ............Dick

Edit: http://intrade.com/v4/home/

realist · **Joined:** Fri Jan 23, 2009 1:33 pm **Posts:** 23548

Quote:

Wary Hispanic voters favor Obama over GOP rivals, poll finds

President Obama holds a wide lead among Hispanic voters when matched against potential Republican challengers, even as Hispanics grow wary of his administration’s stepped-up deportation policies and less supportive of his overall job performance, according to a new poll.

The survey, conducted by the Pew Hispanic Center, revealed a dramatic general election weakness for Republicans among an increasingly influential voting bloc. Obama leads former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney 68-23 and Texas Gov. Rick Perry 69-23 among Hispanic voters, with an error margin of plus or minus 5.2 percentage points for the voter sample.

Read more at:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/ ... story.html

Whatever4 · **Posted:** Tue Feb 07, 2012 2:18 am

The Birthers Are Back in Town
Even after the release of his birth certificate, more Republicans than ever believe President Obama is foreign-born.

Feb 6, 2011

Quote:

According to YouGov’s Adam Berinsky, the proportion of Americans who said that Obama was born in the United States rose from 55 percent before April 2011 to 67 percent afterward. Likewise, for Republicans—the group most likely to believe the conspiracy—the number who said Obama was born a citizen increased from 30 percent to 47 percent. Still low, but a real improvement.

Recently, Berinsky polled the question again, focusing on Republicans to see if their attitudes have changed in the ten months since the president released his birth certificate. Far from getting better, Republicans have actually doubled-down on the belief that Obama is foreign born:

Berinksy points to the durability of rumors in the face of lasting information as the culprit. As he writes, “Rumors tend to be sticky and merely repeating a rumor—even in the context of debunking that mistruth—increases its power.” Likewise, political scientists Brendan Nyhan and Jason Reifler have found that corrections often fail to reduce misperceptions among the target ideological group and that corrections can even backfire and strengthen false beliefs.

read more at the link

aarrgghh · **Joined:** Mon Mar 23, 2009 4:05 pm **Posts:** 1252

a tale of two campaigns:

TollandRCR · **Posted:** Thu Sep 20, 2012 8:25 am

From that Pew survey a detailed breakdown of support for Pres. Obama vs. support for Romney, for both registered votes and "likely voters." The latter category is a prediction based on respondent characteristics, not on predictions from voters.

The breakdown is for gender, age, gender by age, race, education, family income, more detailed income, region, party identification, ideology, party and ideology, religious preference, and frequency of attendance at religious services. There is also a Tea Party tabulation.

It is interesting that for many of the breakdowns, Romney leads in no category. Romney does lead among persons who identify as Republicans and among self-identified conservatives. However, Pres. Obama picks up 27% of the conservative vote. Despite instructions and warnings, the President leads among total Catholics and is a point ahead among white non-Hispanic Catholics. Romney gets 74% of Protestant Evangelical non-Hispanic white voters.

A caution: the sample size for some of these categories may be too small to provide a reliable estimate. For example, moderate/liberal Republicans (now a small portion of the electorate) are represented by only 187 people. Worse, in the unweighted counts, there are only 236 Black non-Hispanics and 141 Hispanics. Weighting can bring these sub-samples to their population proportions for "topline" statistics, but it does not make the results from these small samples more reliable. If the sample size is to be restricted to less than 2,500 voters, more complex sampling methods would have been required to yield larger sub-samples of these categories.

A Legal Lohengrin · **Joined:** Tue Oct 26, 2010 9:56 pm **Posts:** 9356

TollandRCR wrote:

Romney gets 74% of Protestant Evangelical non-Hispanic white voters.

Allow me to say, how can I say this politely? Guess I can't.

verbalobe · **Posted:** Thu Sep 20, 2012 9:57 am

A Legal Lohengrin wrote:

TollandRCR wrote:

Romney gets 74% of Protestant Evangelical non-Hispanic white voters.

Allow me to say, how can I say this politely? Guess I can't.

Pretty soon he's going to be down to 74% of "Mormons named Romney."

MaineSkeptic · **Joined:** Thu Mar 19, 2009 2:48 pm **Posts:** 5295

verbalobe wrote:

Pretty soon he's going to be down to 74% of "Mormons named Romney."

But not the ones who were on government assistance when they came from Mexico.

Chilidog · **Joined:** Mon Jan 09, 2012 12:36 pm **Posts:** 1966

I've been watching intrade and it seemed for the last few days that there was a 32% trading floor on Romney. I wondered how low can he go?

Today he's at 30.5%

esseff44 · **Posted:** Thu Sep 20, 2012 12:16 pm

The corollary to an old truism:

Nothing fails like failure.

Chilidog · **Joined:** Mon Jan 09, 2012 12:36 pm **Posts:** 1966

A Legal Lohengrin wrote:

TollandRCR wrote:

Romney gets 74% of Protestant Evangelical non-Hispanic white voters.

Allow me to say, how can I say this politely? Guess I can't.

I used to have some evangelical Mexicans for neighbors. Nice people, really.

ZekeB · **Posted:** Thu Sep 20, 2012 2:36 pm

Obama is surging in Wisconsin now, too. Fail for the tactic of picking a VP candidate from a "tossup" blue state.

mimi · **Posted:** Thu Sep 20, 2012 3:18 pm

I'm happy to see this.

But I don't want Democrats to get complacent.

The House and the Senate, as well as a bunch of local elections, are at stake.

Women should get energized just due to the insane health care issues local goverment is putting in place.

ZekeB · **Posted:** Thu Sep 20, 2012 5:54 pm

mimi wrote:

The House and the Senate, as well as a bunch of local elections, are at stake.

^^^^^^ This.

It sure would be nice if the Dems could have a fair-sized majority in both houses. The Repubs have managed to block meaningful changes that need to be made.

SueDB · **Posted:** Thu Sep 20, 2012 6:56 pm

ZekeB wrote:

mimi wrote:

The House and the Senate, as well as a bunch of local elections, are at stake.

^^^^^^ This.

It sure would be nice if the Dems could have a fair-sized majority in both houses. The Repubs have managed to block meaningful changes that need to be made.

Hell they have blocked any changes at all except to continue the status quo...It is like they are holding on for dear life for the 2012 elections. I hope the voters really disappoint the GOP. $\:D/$

Falsehoods unchallenged only fester and grow.

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